In this weekly Forex forecast, I’m going to show you exactly how I’m trading EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, GBPNZD, and XAUUSD through December 11, 2020.
Watch the video below, and be sure to scroll down to see the charts and key levels for the week ahead.
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EURUSD Technicals
Last week, we looked at a possible breakout from EURUSD.
It’s an idea I’ve written about several times as far back as October 21st.
Last week’s close above 1.2010 confirmed the breakout, which triggered a retest of the 1.2150 resistance area.
Note how the pair struggled in the 1.2150 region last week.
While I still like the EURUSD higher over the coming weeks, buyers need to close the pair above 1.2150 to expose the next key resistance at 1.2330.
Key support for the week ahead comes in between 1.1970 and 1.2010.
Disclosure: I hold a long position in EURUSD.
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GBPUSD Technicals
GBPUSD experienced its most significant breakout all year last week.
In fact, I could argue that it was the pound’s most significant break in years.
The close above the 1.3340 signaled the pair’s exit from a twenty-year falling wedge pattern.
A structure like the one above usually triggers a move higher.
That’s precisely what we’ve seen from GBPUSD thus far.
Furthermore, the higher time frames appear to have carved an inverse head and shoulders since September 2018.
This is something I pointed out to Daily Price Action members in November.
If GBPUSD can get above the 1.3480 resistance area on a daily closing basis, the next stop would be the 1.3700 region.
Key support for the week ahead comes in just below 1.3400.
AUDUSD Technicals
AUDUSD is another currency pair that broke out from key resistance recently.
I’ve liked the pair higher since the November 3rd breakout.
Just last week, the Australian dollar closed above the 0.7400 area.
We saw both Wednesday and Thursday hold above that level.
What’s intriguing is that Friday’s consolidation carved an inside candle.
Anyone familiar with the way I trade inside bars/candles knows I like to do so after a key breakout.
Last week’s close above 0.7400 certainly qualifies.
If this week can hold above 0.7400 on a daily closing basis and move above last week’s high near 0.7450, it could trigger a move toward 0.7740.
Alternatively, a daily close below 0.7400 would delay the bullish outlook.
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GBPNZD Technicals
On November 12th, I wrote about a potential short opportunity on GBPNZD.
It was a breakdown we’ve anticipated since October 26th.
Two weeks ago, GBPNZD closed below 1.90, which confirmed the breakdown.
Although buyers forced a retest of the 1.9100 area, the pair eventually closed the week below 1.9050
As long as that area remains intact as resistance on a weekly closing basis, I like GBPNZD lower.
Key support comes in at 1.8280.
Disclosure: I hold a short position in GBPNZD.
XAUUSD Technicals
Gold (XAUUSD) may have bottomed last week.
If you saw last week’s forecast, you knew about the two channel bottoms.
One was near $1,750 while the other was closer to $1,700.
As you can see from the chart below, the former level near $1,750 attracted an influx of buyers.
That bounce may be the start of something more.
However, as I mentioned on December 3rd, XAUUSD buyers need to clear $1,850 on a daily closing basis to help confirm this bounce.
A close above $1,850 would open the door to $1,900.
That’s the top of the descending channel, which could serve as a bull flag going forward.
Although gold buyers still have work to do, I continue to favor both gold and silver much higher in 2021.
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Powerful and yet simple analysis as always.
Thank you for sharing all this , I much appreciate it.
My pleasure, Chinenye. Enjoy your week!
Thanks #Justin for the insight for the week ahead. Wishing you and all your followers a beautiful trading week ahead.
Cheers, Felix. Have a great week.
Just as simple and informing as Price Action should be.
But Mr. Benneth Sir,
I was wondering if I could ask maybe a few questions (right here on the comments section) although I’m not a member of the DPA community as it is right now.
I apologize if I called your by your surname, I really don’t know which is your first name.
Sure. You can also use the contact form on this site.
Okay, so I wanted to ask; whats your take on taking trades using multiple timeframes.
To elaborate, I identify setups on the Daily and 4HR timeframes (price action) while taking the trades off the 4HR and 1HR timeframes respectively. Why I do this, is to get better risks to reward while tightening my stops.
Trading successfully is all about finding what works for you. If you find something helpful, it’s useful and could be considered part of your trading edge.
Thank you Justin.👍
You’re welcome.
Good evening mr bennett, please how do you trade inside bar?
I linked to it in the article, but here you go:
https://dailypriceaction.com/blog/inside-bar-trading-strategy/
Analysis awesome
Thanks. Glad you found it helpful. 🙂
Thanks for your analysis man.. all pairs on the check list
You’re very welcome. Enjoy your week.
Simple and informative of charts explanation,
I’m learning everyday,
Thanks you’re the best, keep it up.
Thanks, Richard. Always happy to help.
Thanks Justin for the analysis
You’re very welcome.
I never miss you’re weekly report and I thank you sir justin.
You’re welcome. Thanks for the support!
Thank you Justin
My pleasure, Lindiwe.