Bitcoin Scenarios to Monitor Ahead of Non-Farm Payroll

Written by Justin Bennett

Trusted by 100k monthly readers

Last Updated April 6, 2023

Forex trader since 2002

Written by Justin Bennett 

Forex trader since 2002

100k monthly readers

Updated April 6, 2023


Bitcoin continued sideways today in what feels like never-ending consolidation.

The sideways price action began around March 18th and hasn’t let up since.

But that could change with non-farm payroll (NFP) on Friday.

Of course, there’s no guarantee that NFP will force a resolution to this consolidation, but there’s a decent chance it could.

We saw BTC break higher from the triangle I mentioned the other day.

However, Bitcoin bulls failed to hold new support at $28,240.

We typically see a fakeout like this trigger an extended move in the opposite direction, but we’ll see how tomorrow’s NFP shakes out.

Currently, Bitcoin is catching a bid at trend line support near $27,900.

A close below that opens up the bottom of the March ascending channel at $27,350, with a sustained break below that exposing former range highs at $25,200.

Alternatively, a close above $28,200 would negate the theory that this week’s fakeout will send BTC toward channel support.

I’m in no rush to trade crypto with non-farm payroll on Friday at 8:30 am EST, as we tend to see intense volatility during and immediately after NFP.

I’m not ruling out another rally toward $29,600, but ultimately the odds of a correction from the crypto market later this month are quite high.

BTC 4h 4.6.23
Bitcoin Scenarios to Monitor Ahead of Non-Farm Payroll 2

About the author

Justin Bennett is a full-time trader and educator who teaches Smart Money Concepts and clean price action without the noise.

He focuses on market structure, liquidity, imbalances, and high-time-frame context to help traders understand what price is actually doing and why.

Justin has been trading for over a decade, publishes weekly market breakdowns, and has helped thousands of traders simplify their approach and trade with more confidence. ...Read More


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