XAUUSD: Gold Positioned to Break Higher in 2021

Written by Justin Bennett

Trusted by 100k monthly readers

Last Updated January 18, 2021

Forex trader since 2002

Written by Justin Bennett 

Forex trader since 2002

100k monthly readers

Updated January 18, 2021


I usually write to you as a trader, but I want to take a different approach today.

As Daily Price Action members know, I’ve liked XAUUSD higher since April 2020 when it was trading near $1,600.

And my bullish gold bias hasn’t changed.

But instead of treating it as a trade, I’ve favored investing in the junior gold miner stocks, which tend to follow gold’s trajectory.

Why stocks?

For one, spot metals are off-limits in the US.

And two, buying mining stocks, especially the juniors, is similar to a leveraged bet without the margin.

For instance, I started purchasing junior gold mining stocks on April 1st, 2020.

Since then, XAUUSD is up about 16%

The junior gold miners index (GDXJ), on the other hand, is up an impressive 75% despite its recent pullback.

I also have some futures exposure, but the mining stocks offer a way to outperform gold without any leverage.

All of this is just my opinion, as always, and is not financial advice.

The key takeaway here is that I prefer XAUUSD and the gold miners as a longer-term trade/investment with a minimum 12-month time horizon.

I think that’s the best way to navigate gold right now as it allows one to capture the upside potential without the headaches from false starts.

In the short-term, the $1,780 area is key support.

Critical resistance is near $1,930, which is the top of a potential bull flag.

XAUUSD buyers need to clear that $1,930 area on a daily closing basis to confirm the breakout and re-open the door to $2,075.

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XAUUSD daily 1.18.21 1
XAUUSD daily time frame

About the author

Justin Bennett is a full-time trader and educator who teaches Smart Money Concepts and clean price action without the noise.

He focuses on market structure, liquidity, imbalances, and high-time-frame context to help traders understand what price is actually doing and why.

Justin has been trading for over a decade, publishes weekly market breakdowns, and has helped thousands of traders simplify their approach and trade with more confidence. ...Read More


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