XAGUSD: Next Stop $21?

Written by Justin Bennett

Trusted by 100k monthly readers

Last Updated July 13, 2020

Forex trader since 2002

Written by Justin Bennett 

Forex trader since 2002

100k monthly readers

Updated July 13, 2020


The last time I wrote about XAGUSD (silver), the metal was breaking out of a wedge pattern on the daily time frame near $18.

It was a pattern that was incredibly similar to the one that developed a few weeks before at $15.

Here’s the daily chart from my June 30th post:

XAGUSD daily 6.30.20
XAGUSD daily time frame (June 30th)

Following that breakout, XAGUSD retested the top of that wedge pattern but never closed back inside of it.

That meant the $18 area was always holding as support.

Our target following that breakout was $19, which I also wrote about on June 30th.

Notice how the $19 region is the top of a multi-year descending channel.

XAGUSD monthly 7.13.20
XAGUSD monthly time frame

Silver hit our $19 target on Monday.

But I don’t expect channel resistance to hold for long.

Although silver hasn’t rebounded quite as aggressively as gold following the March selloff, it has had an impressive run.

Furthermore, as I mentioned in late June, silver usually lags gold at the beginning of bull markets, but eventually outperforms.

For now, though, buyers have to clear $19.30 to confirm the breakout.

In other words, XAGUSD needs to close the day above $19.30 to expose the channel’s inception point at $21.

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XAGUSD daily 7.13.20 v2
XAGUSD daily time frame

About the author

Justin Bennett is a full-time trader and educator who teaches Smart Money Concepts and clean price action without the noise.

He focuses on market structure, liquidity, imbalances, and high-time-frame context to help traders understand what price is actually doing and why.

Justin has been trading for over a decade, publishes weekly market breakdowns, and has helped thousands of traders simplify their approach and trade with more confidence. ...Read More


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