Daily Price Action

USDJPY: Keep an Eye on 111.40


A few days ago I commented on a potential USDJPY rising wedge.

It was an early stage pattern without much structure, so there was a good chance it would need to be modified.

That’s what we’re seeing so far this week. The pair has broken above the 110.00 area and is fast approaching a key resistance zone between 111.40 and 111.70.

USDJPY has seen a lot of reversals from this area since early 2016.

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However, there are no guarantees sellers will be able to defend 111.40/70 if tested over the coming sessions.

A study of the price action since mid-2017 shows a range bound market.

So despite the aggressive 700 pip breakdown that occurred in December, there is little to no longer-term momentum here.

That range extends as high as 114.50 and as low as the year-to-date low at 105.60.

That’s a lot of chart to analyze, but it’s important to keep the range in mind in case you’re thinking of selling USDJPY sometime soon.

For now, a retest of the 111.40/70 resistance area followed by bearish price action such as a pin bar could push the pair back to 110.00 support.

Alternatively, a daily close above 111.70 would extend the current rally.

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USDJPY key horizontal levels

Leave a Comment:

WildBill says

If the dollar is entering a 5th wave to the upside, then the rally on the UJ will be consistent

Priscilla says

Thanks a lot for update

Henryk says

Witaj Justin,jakie średnie kroczące wykorzystujesz na wykresie SMA czy EMA ?.

Richard ameko says

Pls no chart from you for this analysis?

    Richard ameko says

    Sorry its from my internet connection.

Diteboho says

Hey so with this analysis hiw best could it be traded?

Nhan says

Thank you

Sumantra kumar halder says


Austen says

Great job

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