USDJPY to Remain Bearish Below 106.50

Written by Justin Bennett

Trusted by 100k monthly readers

Last Updated October 9, 2020

Forex trader since 2002

Written by Justin Bennett 

Forex trader since 2002

100k monthly readers

Updated October 9, 2020


It’s no secret that I’ve been bearish USDJPY for a few months.

Ever since the pair closed below a multi-year level, sellers have been in control.

USDJPY monthly wedge pattern
USDJPY monthly time frame

But despite that breakdown, USDJPY has held up relatively well.

That isn’t too surprising, though, given that the entire market has been at a standstill.

If you recall my last USDJPY post, I pointed out a trend line from the March low.

As you can see from the chart below, the pair intersected with that level at 106.10 on October 7th.

Since then, the USDJPY has come under selling pressure.

Just keep in mind that sellers need to take out the 104.20 area to expose the 101.00 target I’ve had on my chart for several months.

Given the lower highs since February, a breakdown seems imminent.

On the other hand, if USDJPY bulls were to take out the 106.50 resistance area on a daily closing basis, it would negate the bearish outlook.

That doesn’t seem likely at the moment, though.

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USDJPY daily showing a rising wedge
USDJPY daily time frame

About the author

Justin Bennett is a full-time trader and educator who teaches Smart Money Concepts and clean price action without the noise.

He focuses on market structure, liquidity, imbalances, and high-time-frame context to help traders understand what price is actually doing and why.

Justin has been trading for over a decade, publishes weekly market breakdowns, and has helped thousands of traders simplify their approach and trade with more confidence. ...Read More


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