Daily Price Action
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NZDUSD Trend to Continue Above 0.6800

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NZDUSD has been locked in a range since July.

The 280 pip range comes following a false break back in March.

The New Zealand dollar is also holding above a multi-year trend line from the 2014 high.

NZDUSD monthly chart showing false break
NZDUSD monthly time frame

All of this is bullish for the NZDUSD.

However, one concern some bulls have had recently is the potential of a head and shoulders reversal.

Notice how the price action since July seems to hint at such a pattern.

But I’m not so sure about that.

The New Zealand dollar’s inability to retest 0.6500 support earlier this month suggests strong demand.

Furthermore, the pair is testing the early August high at 0.6710 but doesn’t appear to be faltering.

If NZDUSD pushes past 0.6710 and retests the year-to-date high at 0.6800, it will cancel out any chance of a head and shoulders pattern.

As for me, I like NZDUSD higher toward 0.7500.

It may take months to get there, and we will no doubt see pullbacks along the way, but that’s my target in 2021.

Disclosure: I hold an NZDUSD long position (opened October 27th).

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NZDUSD daily chart with range
NZDUSD daily time frame

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4 comments
Justin Bennett says

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Mr A O Onabiyi says

i wish this comment came earlier

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Samuel says

Thank you for reminding me about this update.

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Sushant says

Thank you for the analysis Justin. However, with the current economical scenario – 0.6797 seems to be the ceiling which is not easy to break.
I expect NSDUSD to reach somewhere between 0.6750 to 0.6790 and then reverse back and start its downside movement. We know that, this trade set-up is valid until 4th November 2020 (US Election results day). Thanks.

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