NZDUSD: Start of a New Trend?

Written by Justin Bennett

Trusted by 100k monthly readers

Last Updated July 10, 2020

Forex trader since 2002

Written by Justin Bennett 

Forex trader since 2002

100k monthly readers

Updated July 10, 2020


On July 1st, I wrote about a bullish scenario for NZDUSD.

The false break between March and May hinted at a push higher.

NZDUSD was trading at 0.6458 when I wrote that post.

The pair was also coming off of the 0.6380 support are that had attracted buyers since mid-June.

Fast forward to today, and you can see that the New Zealand dollar is trading more than 100 pips higher.

It has also broken above the 0.6550 level I mentioned in Sunday’s video.

If you saw that video, you know that 0.6550 is the location of the trend line that extends from the 2014 high.

NZDUSD false break on the monthly time frame
NZDUSD monthly time frame

Now it’s time to see if NZDUSD bulls can defend the 0.6550 area as new support.

If the pair can stay above that area on a daily closing basis, a move up to 0.6640 and eventually 0.6740 seems likely.

On the other hand, if NZDUSD closes (the day) below 0.6550, it would signal weakness and also re-expose 0.6380.

Keep in mind too that this breakout may require a weekly close as confirmation.

Multi-year levels like this often require confirmation on the weekly and monthly time frames rather than just the daily.

In other words, keep an eye on Friday’s closing price, which is only a few hours away.

A Friday close above 0.6550 will keep buyers in control for next week.

But a weekly close below 0.6550 would suggest that the area is still serving as resistance on a weekly closing basis.

Disclaimer: I hold an NZDUSD long position from 0.6497.

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NZDUSD daily time frame showing support and resistance
NZDUSD daily time frame
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Justin Bennett - founder of Daily Price Action

About the author

Justin Bennett started trading in 2002, and let's just say it was a bumpy ride. But in 2010, he had his "aha" moment once he ditched the indicators and focused 100% on price action. Justin has built a following of 100,000+ monthly readers and taught thousands of traders using his simple, no-nonsense approach. He's been highlighted as a top trader by Stocks and Commodities Magazine and regularly featured by Forex Factory next to publications from Bloomberg and CNBC. ...Read More


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