Daily Price Action

GBPUSD Confirms Lower Portion of Terminal Pattern


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On Monday we looked at a way to capitalize on pound strength or weakness. The smaller 4-hour ascending channel within a larger descending one provided a way for us to go long or short depending on which structure gave way first.

While the GBPUSD is still consolidating within the smaller ascending channel, today’s price action is quite useful.

I often talk about the idea of not just watching for buy or sell signals, but monitoring a market’s movement to help confirm key levels. Today’s bounce from the 1.3875 area is a prime example.

I was fairly confident about the ascending channel on Monday, but the bid that formed earlier today at 1.3875 confirms my suspicion. It will also help with the conviction of any short entry should the pair close below channel support over the coming sessions.

Of course, there’s always a chance that the GBPUSD will close above descending channel resistance first. In which case we can begin watching for bullish price action on a retest of the level as new support.

For now, Monday’s analysis remains unchanged. But I am more confident that a close below channel support which is now closer to the 1.3900 handle, would trigger a move lower toward 1.3600.

Alternatively, a close above descending channel resistance would take us back to the current 2018 high near 1.4335. Because this is a terminal pattern, it isn’t a question of if the pair will break, but when?

I’ll be sure to provide an update when that time comes.

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GBPUSD two channels on the daily chart

Leave a Comment:

Adi says

Sounds good

Haneem says

Thanks. Very usefull

Antonio Zucchelli says

Ciao Justin, io so poco di fx ma da quando ti seguo sono piu rilassato e sto avendo vittorie. Non capisco bene tutto di cio che analizzi, un po per la traduzione ,e per la mia poca esperienza. io lavoro 7 giorni la settimana perchè sto facendo la stagione sciistica, quindi appena ho un po di tempo cerco di capire i vari strumenti che tu usi per le previsioni. Piu avanti appena incomincio a capire i fondamenti approfondiro di piu le lezioni /corsi, che proponi.
Intanto ti ringrazio tantissimo per l’aiuto che stai dando!!!
Come dice un mio caro amico “Un essere è di valore nella misura in cui è di aiuto agli altri” LRH
Z Antonio

Francis says

Thanks for that update .

Sumantra Kumar halder says

Very very helpfully

Chris says

Hi Justin

Nice work as usual. GU has formed an ascending channel since November 2016 after a huge drop. Would you consider the current channel as a corrective move with ultimately bearish implications?


sam says

Hi sir jus,what are your indicator which pair should be trade newbie here,

Vicky says

Hello Sir,
Close above / below meant in the chart is for 4Hr candle or as usual Daily Close

Chucks says

The set up is really playing out perfectly as you predicted it.
I so much appreciate it

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