GBPNZD Breakout Potential Continues to Build

by Justin Bennett  · 

April 18, 2019

by Justin Bennett  · 

April 18, 2019

by Justin Bennett  · 

April 18, 2019


It’s been several weeks since I last discussed GBPNZD.

The pound cross has been consolidating since last December following the bounce from ascending channel support.

Although the situation looks the same as when I discussed the pair back in March, there are two notable changes here.

The first is that the pair is still consolidating.

That may not sound like a revelation, but when you consider that this has breakout potential, the continued consolidation is significant.

As a general rule, the longer a market consolidates, the more aggressive the breakout is likely to be.

So if you’re waiting for GBPNZD to break free, the extra wait time is a good thing.

The second development is that any break lower now has an 800-pip target rather than 600 pips which was the case in late March.

Because this is an ascending pattern, the target for a downside break grows with each passing day.

Keep in mind, though, that there are no guarantees GBPNZD will break lower.

Even though an upside break would be a surprise given the ascending nature of the recent price action, it shouldn’t be ruled out.

Either way, this terminal pattern is going to force market participants to make a decision by the end of May.

It’s also going to take a daily close beyond the wedge you see below to confirm the breakout.

The “daily close” refers to the New York 5 pm EST close.

Click here to get access to the same Forex charts I use for trading price action.

This is still a waiting game for now. But the longer GBPNZD consolidates, the more appealing the breakout potential becomes.

And with the prospect of an 800-pip decline, this one could be worth the wait.

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GBPNZD rising wedge on the daily time frame


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14  Comments

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  2. gg by sharp selling between 9450-9550 .. i dont see much upside beyond 9450-9500 on GN .. possibly fall bk to 9300 area at least and lower?

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