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EURUSD Shorts Favored Below 1.1180

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Important: This site uses New York Close Forex Charts so that each 24-hour session starts and ends at 5 pm EST. These charts are essential for trading price action.

The EURUSD broke a significant level on Wednesday.

I wrote about the 1.1180 level on Tuesday noting that a daily close below it would expose the 1.1050 region.

Wednesday’s 1.1152 close put the single currency well below the 1.1180 handle on a daily closing basis.

That means any retest of 1.1180 will likely encounter an influx of selling pressure.

This idea is in line with the current trend as well.

Since last April, the EURUSD hasn’t given buyers much hope. And as choppy as this year has been so far, the pair has been carving some decent swings.

In fact, the last four downturns have produced moves between 250 and 300 pips.

What’s more, those selloffs have taken two weeks or less to play out.

We’ll see if sellers have a fifth downturn up their sleeve; so far so good.

But here’s the key…

I won’t consider shorting EURUSD without a retest of 1.1180 as new resistance first.

There are a few reasons for that.

First, the 1.1180 area served as a significant support level for several months so the market may need to backfill this area before moving lower.

Second, I need a favorable risk to reward ratio. The EURUSD is too close to the November 2017 trend line near 1.1050 for me to consider a short.

And last but not least, today’s price is nearly 100 pips below the 10 and 20 daily EMAs.

That means a retracement of some sort is likely.

It will probably take until next week for the pair to mean revert to the 1.1180 (new) resistance area.

I will continue to favor shorts while EURUSD trades below 1.1180 on a daily closing basis.

Key support for next week comes in near 1.1050.

Alternatively, a daily close back above the 1.1180 area would negate the bearish outlook and expose 1.1250.

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EURUSD new resistance level

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12 comments
Justin Bennett says

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Ocharive John says

Hello Justin please will it be proper for me to place a Pending Order on EURUSD for BUY STOP on this entries with targets?
ENTRY 1.11650
SL 1.112
TP1 1.1210
TP2 1.1250
TP3 1.1300

Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    Proper in terms of what? Only you can make that decision.

    Reply
bannet says

Do u set a sell limit order at 1.1180. Or u first wait for the reaction of the daily candle to close.

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    Justin Bennett says

    It depends on how and when the pair retests the level.

    Reply
imran says

Hello Justin,

I paid for lifetime membership on 30th Mar but haven’t got my account setup. Can you please look into this.

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    Justin Bennett says

    The email was sent on March 30th. Be sure to check your spam/junk folder. I will resend it now.

    Reply
Matt says

Thank you for the insight, im learning a lot from your analysis. Stay Blessed

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POLA P says

“market may need to backfill this area before moving lower.”
thanks!!

Reply
    Ralph says

    Pola,
    Do u think there might be a bounce from current area to 1.1800 before selling back below 1.1050?

    Reply
Peter promise says

Hi Justin…with such a close at 1152 do one enter a sell or wait for a retest at 1180 resistance before selling..

Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    I mentioned it in the post.

    Reply
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