Daily Price Action
Shares

EURUSD: Future Direction Hinges on 1.1430

Shares

Important: I use New York close charts so that each 24-hour period closes at 5 pm EST.

Click here to get access to the same charts I use.

EURUSD bulls are once again pressuring the 1.1430 resistance level. We reviewed this area on Sunday where I noted that I was suspicious of last Friday’s selloff.

It was the bullishness of Thursday’s bounce from 1.1300 support that caused me to doubt Friday’s bearish rejection candle. Of course, the fact that the bearish signal came on a Friday when volume tends to be lower didn’t help matters.

So far, euro bulls are continuing today where they left off yesterday. But despite the recent pressure on 1.1430, sellers are holding firm, at least at the moment.

You may have noticed the hesitation from market participants so far this week. That’s largely due to the U.S. midterm elections which are taking place as I type this with results expected out later this evening starting at around 6 pm EST.

Most traders won’t want to commit one way or the other until those results are final. So while EURUSD is pressuring the confluence of resistance at 1.1430, I don’t expect much movement here or elsewhere until later this week.

The price action at 1.1430 is a stalemate at the moment. On the one hand, buyers look ready to break the confluence of resistance in the area. And on the other hand, the momentum since April remains mostly bearish.

Should sellers carve a bearish pin bar below 1.1430 over the next day or two, I will consider a short entry. A rejection from 1.1430 would take the euro back to 1.1300 with a break there exposing 1.1130.

On the flip side, a daily close (using a New York close chart) above the 1.1430 area would turn our attention back to 1.1530 resistance. A break above 1.1430 would also suggest the market intends to keep the larger 500 pip range intact a while longer.

Be careful about entering ahead of the U.S. midterm elections results though. While it won’t trigger the kind of volatility we witnessed in November 2016, a “surprise” result could shake things up quite a bit for a pair like EURUSD.

Advanced Forex Webinar: The 7 Secrets of Consistent Forex Profits

Click Here to Register

EURUSD confluence of resistance

Leave a Comment:

17 comments
Fabian says

Becoming a member very soon! You’re the mentor a trader need.. beginner or advance. Thanks Justin

Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    My pleasure, Fabian. I look forward to seeing you in the member’s area.

    Reply
Sera says

Thanx…you are highly appreciated Mr. Spot on😄

Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    You’re welcome. Thanks for the kind words, Sera.

    Reply
dexter says

pinbar was created in 2 days before, shall we go short?

Reply
    Olorunsola Tolu says

    Wait till after US election results are finally out.

    Don’t an aggressive trader. Patience is a needed virtue in Fx.

    Reply
      Justin Bennett says

      Agree. An entry now is a bit too speculative for my taste.

      Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    That’s your call. My thoughts are above. 🙂

    It wasn’t technically a pin bar though.

    Reply
Isaac says

Thanks informative

Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    My pleasure. Let me know if you have any questions.

    Reply
Paul says

Different kind of question. As we know big players close their positions at the end of the year and open it at the beggining of the new year, when is the safe time to stop trading and then start again?

Reply
meraj Ahmed says

Thank you Justin you are very helpful for me thanks once again bro 😊

Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    You’re welcome, Meraj. Always happy to help.

    Reply
samir says

you said 500 pips range ,you mean 1.13-1.18

Reply
Nkosekhaya Zatu says

I think the bulls have gained momentum now, we looking into uptread to 1.15425. Justin? 😊

Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    The market just gave its answer.

    Reply
Add Your Reply