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EURUSD Breaks Out but Daily Close Is Key

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EURUSD is following the storyline I wrote about on June 29th.

In fact, I first mentioned the possibility of a descending channel in the June 28th weekly forecast.

Given the rally between May and early June, this descending channel looked like a bull flag pattern.

Last Thursday tested the top of the channel near 1.1290, but the market wasn’t quite ready to break free.

Friday’s action was limited with the 4th of July US holiday inbound.

However, now that volume has picked up again, the EURUSD is breaking free and is currently trading well above that 1.1260/70 area I mentioned on Sunday.

As always, it’s going to take a daily close above 1.1260/70 to confirm the breakout.

But that doesn’t mean you couldn’t have bought in last week.

The way the pair was hovering just below channel resistance suggested that a break higher was imminent.

Traders also shouldn’t forget about the multi-year wedge pattern.

I’ve been showcasing the structure above in each weekly forecast, as it’s still an incredibly significant pattern, in my opinion.

As of now, the top of that multi-year wedge comes in near the 1.1600 handle.

Before buyers worry about 1.1600, though, they need to get through 1.1350, 1.1420, and 1.1500.

EURUSD bulls are testing 1.1350 as I type this.

I do expect sellers to defend that area, particularly considering that today’s session was up 100 pips at session highs.

That means the new battleground will take place between 1.1270 and 1.1350.

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9 comments
Justin Bennett says

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ali says

thanks for the up date.

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Martin Njeru says

Master keep away from EURUSD there is no eminent opportunity there ie Good RR.I am keeping away from EURUSD AT the moment its tricky and there are good risk to reward pairs to trade USDJPY,-Fakey set up and CHFJPY-Fakey set ups on a key level ie Inside bar plus bearish pin bar agaon SPI 200 CASH and Dax 30 Unfolding well keep watching

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    speculator says

    ‘When others are fearful be greedy,and when others are greedy be fearful’ – Warren Buffet.

    Reply
Frano Grgić says

I agree on this analysis. All levels what you have said are similar to mine I am watching.
The breakout has shown bull strength and I think we will see the price testing $1.13427 from the upper side as a support.

The level $1.13427 is now tested for the third time and the price pulled back so it seems it will make a hard barrier for the bulls to break above.

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Ngo Sy Ha says

thanks you fof analyes

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Mawanda Derrick says

Thanks alot Justine which broker has vetrans

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speculator says

A promising analysis’Thanks for the update.

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Samuel says

Thanks for the updates.

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