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EURNZD Tests Former Wedge Support as New Resistance

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Important: I use New York close charts. Click Here to Use My Preferred Broker

The EURNZD is in the process of testing former wedge support as new resistance. I mentioned the 1.6950 – 1.7000 resistance area last Wednesday and again over the weekend.

I know some of you entered last week. But if you notice, last week’s price action was all well below the 10 and 20 EMAs. In other words, prices were overextended which meant a retracement was likely.

That’s what we’ve been witnessing over the past 48 hours. The EURNZD is currently testing former wedge support as new resistance. As such, the validity of last week’s breakdown hangs on today’s close at 5 pm EST.

Remember, I use New York close charts. Everything that happens before the 5 pm EST session close is trivial.

So where might today’s rally find resistance?

There is a key horizontal level at 1.7100 that could prove problematic for buyers. Not only did this area attract a bid in late November and early December, but it’s also the 50% retracement from the current 2017 high to Monday’s low at 1.6743.

Whether or not the pair makes it that high on an intraday basis is still up in the air.

Keep in mind, however, that if the EURNZD closes today back above former wedge support near 1.7030, all bets for a move lower are off.

At the moment I’m just watching to see if we get some bearish price action at current levels. If we do, I will entertain an entry. If not, I’ll stand aside.

December is not a month for taking entries without some form of bullish or bearish price action. The lack of liquidity causes indecision and an increase in false breaks.

That’s why I tend to remain flat through the end of the year. And if I do trade, it’s with half-size or even quarter-size positions.

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EURNZD rising wedge pattern on the daily chart

Leave a Comment:

14 comments
Steven says

Thanks Justin i’v been watching this pair for a while now.

Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    You’re welcome. It’s really the only thing that’s piqued my interest the last couple of weeks.

    Reply
Ed says

Hi Justin, we are in end year period. Are setups valid to trade. I am staying out

Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    I wrote about that above.

    Reply
Darius says

I am thinking – if we have more false breaks and various false things during low liquidity, maybe we can make money from that – just doing oposite what we would do in normal liquidity?

Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    Patience and price action are the better choice in my opinion.

    Reply
Ken T. says

How can you offer Blueberry Markets, when they just told me they cannot accept U.S. clients at this time?

Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    Hi Ken, I know the Managing Director over there, which is why I offer them as an option to non-U.S. traders.

    If you’re in the states, you can give OANDA a try. Cheers.

    Reply
Gana Hosea says

A Pin Bar just formed after the news release. i made close to 90Pips on that trade. its now retracing… am going to wait for it to retrace to about 50% of the pinbar then enter another trade. just like you teach.

am really really thankful for your quality training sir.

Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    Pleased to hear that.

    Reply
Muhammed Omar says

i am beginner. this chart buy or sell meaning

Reply
    Gana Hosea says

    Visit Babypips.com they have a really nice free course for beginers. You wont regret it.

    Reply
      Maddy says

      Yeah….babypips.com very nice site👍

      Reply
Fabrizio says

Hi Justin a small question : pin bar, inside bar and engulfing candles are important only at KEY levels or only at NEAR terms levels? Please explain. Thank you very much and season’s greetings

Reply
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