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AUDJPY Tests Support Turned Resistance at 78.70

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AUDJPY just retested new resistance at 78.70.

I wrote about this area on Sunday. It previously served as range support for the pair in early September and again in late October.

The December 21 close at 78.15 meant that any retest of 78.70 would likely trigger an influx of selling pressure.

That’s exactly what we got just a few hours ago.

Yesterday’s high was 78.73 and AUDJPY is currently trading 100 pips below it so there’s no question sellers are now defending the 78.70 region.

As long as this area remains intact as resistance on a daily closing basis, I will stay bearish AUDJPY.

Remember, I use New York close charts so that each session closes at 5 pm EST.

You can go here to get instant access to the same charts I use.

I think the potential for shorts is excellent here.

Looking at the weekly time frame, there isn’t much support until the price reaches the August and September 2016 lows at 76.00.

However, the recent 530 pip range suggests we could see prices extend toward 73.30 over the coming weeks.

That makes a lot of sense when you view the price action since 2010.

Many swing lows reside between the 72.00 handle and 73.50.

But if you didn’t catch today’s retest of 78.70, it would be prudent to wait for another retracement.

You don’t want to chase a runaway market like this one. That’s especially true when liquidity is thin as it is now.

The lack of volume can trigger erratic behavior that can leave you on the wrong side of the market if you aren’t careful.

From here, the 78.70 area remains new resistance on a daily closing basis.

Key support comes in at 76.00 followed by 73.30.

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AUDJPY new resistance area

Leave a Comment:

18 comments
Maureen says

Thank you

Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    It’s my pleasure.

    Reply
Daks says

Thank you

Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    You’re welcome.

    Reply
Mondli Gumede says

Thank Mr Justine

Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    You’re very welcome.

    Reply
Chris Castillo says

So meaning there could be another retest of 78 .70? Thank you.

Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    There could be, sure.

    Reply
Godwin says

Thank you

Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    Anytime, Godwin.

    Reply
Oladimeji says

Great analysis thank you boss….please can we know your take on GBPJPY?thank you sir.

Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    Cheers. You’re welcome.

    Reply
Aaron Mosiapane says

Much appreciated… Thank you

Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    You’re welcome, Aaron.

    Reply
Pierre Mifsud says

Next support to me is at 76.50 but an excellent review as always

Reply
    Pierre Mifsud says

    Also regarding EURUSD, it seems that the most it can stretch is up to 1.14802 handle and then expected to retest the 1.2690…..look at the EURAUD seems to be reaching its limit in strength up to 1.6356 retest last established on 28 th October 2018 and from the EURJPY which should still retest the 124.65 handle……Any comments by anyone highly welcomed….

    Reply
    Justin Bennett says

    Cheers, Pierre.

    Reply
Diana says

Hi Justin, how do you see Eur/Nzd in the next 2 weeks?

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