NZDUSD: Friday Breakout Underway

Written by Justin Bennett

Trusted by 100k monthly readers

Last Updated May 24, 2019

Forex trader since 2002

Written by Justin Bennett 

Forex trader since 2002

100k monthly readers

Updated May 24, 2019


Important: This site uses New York Close Forex Charts so that each 24-hour session starts and ends at 5 pm EST. These charts are essential for trading price action.

On May 10th I discussed the breakout potential for NZDUSD.

The descending channel that extends from the March highs couldn’t last forever. That’s especially true when you consider its narrow range.

Sure enough, today’s session is breaking out.

However, it’s Friday and today is far from over, so I’m in no hurry to buy NZDUSD.

But I do think the pair has breakout potential for next week.

Buyers do need to climb back above the 0.6590 horizontal level before they can garner more attention from the market, though.

That said, dropping below 0.6590 wasn’t as bearish as some may believe.

The range low for NZDUSD is technically the October 2018 low at 0.6425.

So if buyers can keep prices well bid next week, it would signal a higher low for the pair with respect to the broader multi-year range.

Want access to the same New York close Forex charts I use? Go here.

I’m going to keep an eye on NZDUSD for next week.

I don’t want to enter before the long holiday weekend, nor will I enter without a pullback of some sort.

On top of that, any entry here will be a starter position.

It doesn’t make sense to scale in with any kind of size until NZDUSD buyers prove themselves.

That would involve a daily close back above 0.6590, in my opinion.

And if they can clear 0.6590, there isn’t much to prevent a retest of 0.6720.

All eyes will be on today’s close. That will be the determining factor for next week’s outlook.

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NZDUSD descending channel on the daily time frame


About the author

Justin Bennett is a full-time trader and educator who teaches Smart Money Concepts and clean price action without the noise.

He focuses on market structure, liquidity, imbalances, and high-time-frame context to help traders understand what price is actually doing and why.

Justin has been trading for over a decade, publishes weekly market breakdowns, and has helped thousands of traders simplify their approach and trade with more confidence. ...Read More


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