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GBPAUD Bearish Reversal Underway?

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On Tuesday, I wrote about a possible GBPAUD reversal.

The weekly bearish engulfing candle from mid-December looked ominous, especially given the multi-year highs that preceded it.

Additionally, the price structure on the daily time frame hinted at a possible head and shoulders reversal.

I was able to get short with a small starter position at 1.9100, which I announced on the membership site at the time of entry.

That position will remain relatively small until I see follow through.

More specifically, I want to see GBPAUD sellers take out 1.8900 and 1.8700 over the coming days.

The 1.8900 horizontal level has been a factor since last November.

As for 1.8700, that’s the approximate location of the neckline that belongs to the head and shoulders pattern I mentioned on Tuesday.

Just keep in mind that the neckline could be lower, perhaps closer to 1.8680 if GBPAUD sellers get impatient next week.

Between those two prices, 1.8700 is more significant, in my opinion.

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That’s because a daily close below it would confirm the head and shoulders reversal.

It would also open the door to the pattern’s 900 pip measured objective, which is currently down near 1.7800.

Of course, that objective could fluctuate depending on when (and if) the GBPAUD confirms the reversal structure.

There are also no guarantees that it will continue to reverse.

So far, my short from 1.9100 is looking good, but things can change in a hurry.

I’ll stick with my bearish outlook as long as the pair continues to carve what could be a 900 pip head and shoulders pattern.

But until GBPAUD sellers clear that 1.8700 region, it’s all a bit too speculative for me to add any real size here.

Want to watch the GBPAUD video I just released in the member’s area?

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GBPAUD potential head and shoulders reversal pattern

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8 comments
Justin Bennett says

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Thu says

hello justin, why do i use MT4 of IC market there are some difference of candles compared to your chart?

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    Justin Bennett says

    There will always be some differences in the price feed. That said, you may not be getting New York close charts from your broker. These charts use a 5 pm EST closing time for each daily candle.

    Here are the charts I use: https://www.blueberrymarkets.com/lp/dailypriceaction

    Reply
Emmanuel says

Thanks Mr Justin, your analysis are well understood and on point too and thanks for the update.

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    Justin Bennett says

    You’re welcome.

    Reply
Colin de Ste Croix says

Thank you good man. (-:

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Olumide Komolafe says

From the GBPAUD analysis you did, expecting a break of the head and shoulder neckline to confirm the breakout. I like to knoe how you arrived at the 1.7880 support line. From my analysis its not the next support line

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