Daily Price Action

GBPUSD Still Vulnerable Below Year-to-Date Trend Line


GBPUSD continues to hold below the trend line from the year-to-date low.

This level had been keeping the 2019 rally alive. However, sellers cleared trend line support on March 28th.

Since that time, we’ve seen it attract sellers.

Although Wednesday’s session spiked above former trend line support (new resistance) on an intraday basis, the pair failed to close the day above it.

This is why I’m always on about the importance of New York close charts.

Notice how yesterday’s 5 pm EST close was just below the trend line near 1.3160.

Today’s session also spiked above the level, but GBPUSD is currently well off session highs.

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In fact, the pair has already taken out Thursday’s low.

But the real test for sellers still stands in the 1.3010 region. The area has supported GBPUSD since February 22nd.

It’s likely going to take a daily close below it to open up downside targets including 1.2920 and 1.2800.

My guess is we will continue to see the choppy and indecisive price action continue for some time.

After all, it’s what the GBPUSD has done for nearly a year now.

That said, I remain bearish here as long as the pair is below this trend line that extends from the year-to-date low.

In my experience, any trend line that commences with a year-to-date low or high is significant, and I have no reason to believe this situation is any different.

IMPORTANT: I use New York close charts so that each day closes at 5 pm EST.

Click Here to get access to the same charts I use.

GBPUSD new resistance area

About the Author Justin Bennett

Justin Bennett is an internationally recognized Forex trader with 10+ years of experience. He's been interviewed by Stocks & Commodities Magazine as a featured trader for the month and is mentioned weekly by Forex Factory next to publications from CNN and Bloomberg. Justin created Daily Price Action in 2014 and has since grown the monthly readership to over 100,000 Forex traders and has personally mentored more than 3,000 students.Read more...

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  • Evans says:

    Thanks Justin……what are your views on GBP/jpy. I’m short on the pair and thinks all GBP pairs are going short. Pls what’s your thought. Thanks

    • Justin Bennett says:

      I guess I don’t group pairs together like that. I don’t have much of an opinion about GBPJPY at the moment.

  • Justin Bennett says:

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  • Vince says:

    Thanks man

    • Justin Bennett says:

      You’re welcome, Vince.

  • Chris says:

    I agree with your bearish outlook. Thanks again!

    • Justin Bennett says:

      You’re welcome. I think it might be better to call it a “cautiously” bearish outlook as GBPUSD is still limited by its current range.

  • Emmanuel says:

    hi!!! your analysis are awesome… Greetings from Nigeria. Thanks a lot

  • Adebayo Saheed says:


  • Matt says:

    Thank for your insights Sir


    Thank you so much sir and be blessed for the good work.

  • Steve says:

    Thanks Justin, I just went short on the gbp/usd because I believe it just hit support at the level you indicated 1.30….I also expect it to be further bearish eventually

  • Alonzo Munyeneh says:

    I have been following you and I appreciate the analysis. I paid for the course but I still don’t have access. What’s going on?

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